A guided foresight process
Read four newspapers from ten years out.
Scenario Development turns what you already know about your industry into four plausible futures, each written as a news story you can hand to your board. You work through it alone, at your own pace, guided a step at a time.
Finish with four future stories and a downloadable Story Pack.
Regulator clears the merger nobody expected to survive
How the session runs
Each step has to produce something before the next one opens. That is what keeps the futures coherent rather than merely interesting.
- 01
Frame the challenge
Settle the question your next decade turns on.
- 02
Gather the drivers
Name the forces that could change the conditions you plan in.
- 03
Map impact and uncertainty
Find the few drivers that are both consequential and genuinely unpredictable.
- 04
Choose two uncertainties
Two axes, four futures, each internally consistent.
- 05
Investigate the stories
Work a tip-off into a news article filed from inside each future.
Ready when you are.
Finish with four future stories and a downloadable Story Pack. Stop whenever you like — everything is saved, and you resume exactly where you left off.